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20091128

The Real Killer: Human Influenza Virus + Secondary Bacterial Infection Kills

"Also according to CDC statistics, swine flu is only approximately one-tenth as dangerous as regular seasonal flu. That's because the CDC maintains that seasonal flu kills 36,000 Americans each year (a figure that I've already pointed out is highly suspect, but that's what they claim).

But even seasonal flu is nothing to get all worked up over. Unless you're in a state of terrible health with a compromised immune system, obesity and asthma, beating seasonal flu is a no-brainer: Just nourish your body with vitamin D, zinc, superfoods and natural health supplements and let your built-in immune technology do its job. Your immune system has already saved your life countless times. It knows how to do it if you give it the right nutrition." -- "Aspirin kills 400% more people than H1N1 swine flu", Natural News

Given that the population of America is about 350 million people, about 0.1 percent die of seasonal flu yearly and about 0.01 percent died of H1N1. However, it could be the combined effect of human influenza virus (the flu) and hemophilus influenzae bacilli which is causing the deaths being reported so far in the news.

Therefore H1N1 is not deadly except when in combination with secondary infections by hemophilus influenzae and streptococcus pneumoniae bacteria.

The H1N1 virus itself is actually weaker than regular H5N1 flu. The statistics of 0.01 percent prove that the mutation of H1N1 influenza virus consisting of avian, human and swine influenza genetic material is weaker than human influenza strains consisting of either human or human and swine genetic material.

What is not weaker is the immune system when subject to H1N1 infection. The coughing of phlegm and build up of mucus is consistent with what is called the "cytokine storm" reaction to secondary infection by both hemophilus influenzae and pneumonia bacilli.

It is the reaction to these secondary infections which add risk to H1N1 infection.

To relieve symptoms of this secondary infection, Vitamin D and garlic are indicated. However, cetirizine may relieve mucus buildup in the lungs along with use of cough drops, by reducing the impact of the cytokine storm.

Vitamin D supports normal function of your immune system. It might reduce the severity of colds and flu. As well, Vitamin D supports normal inflammatory response.

Update: 20120118.1149

The difference between stomach flu and regular flu is that stomach flu does not cause fever.

NIH article on hemophilus influenzae
http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC2135289/pdf/7.pdf

Wikipedia article on hemophilus influenzae and interaction with streptococcus pneumoniae (pneumonia bacilli)
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Haemophilus_influenzae#Interaction_with_Streptococcus_pneumoniae

Cetirizine may relieve cytokine storm
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cetirizine#Rhinovirus_infection

Cytokine storm explained
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cytokine_storm

Difference between norwalk and influenza symptoms
http://www.ctvnews.ca/health/many-confused-by-difference-between-flu-and-stomach-flu-1.1118140

Update: 20130206.1209

Vitamin D: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Vitamin_D

Update: 20130618.1848

N-acetylcysteine: Potent Influenza Protection: http://www.lef.org/magazine/mag2010/may2010_N-Acetyl-Cysteine_01.htm

'H5N1 influenza, or bird flu, is a lethal and potentially pandemic infection that produces the massive release of inflammatory mediators aptly called the “cytokine storm.”Other more common forms of influenza also act by triggering massive cytokine releases that inflame vulnerable lung tissue. In early 2010, it was discovered that NAC offers dual protection against bird flu. It inhibits both virus replication and expression of pro-inflammatory molecules in cells infected with H5N1 virus, holding out the promise of effective protection in the event of a global avian flu pandemic.'

8 comments:

Sageb1 said...

Since regular flu is 10 to 20 times more deadly - 42 H1N1-related deaths vs 500-800 common flu deaths per year in BC, this province has shown a lower death rate due to the illness.

IMHO this rate may prove that the H1N1 mutation is less harmful than the common flu.

All the more proof to get plenty of rest (up to 8-10 hours) and drink plenty of fluids (water, soup) with moderation (at least 1 litre daily of water).

One should maintain intake of vitamins & minerals. Up to 800 IU of Vitamin D daily may be supplemented.

Sageb1 said...

Reference for statement that regular flu is 10-20 times more deadly than H1N1: http://www2.news.gov.bc.ca/news_releases_2009-2013/2009HSERV0001-000004.htm

Given that about 1000 people were diagnosed with H1N1, that 42 people died, that 37 of those people died of underlying medical conditions, and only 4 people died without underlying medical conditions, then the following is true:

4.4 percent in total died so far
3.9 percent died of H1N1 and underlying medical conditions, and
0.4 percent of people died of H1N1 alone.

In BC, the current population is approximately 4.4 million. Reference: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/British_Columbia

1000 people diagnosed is about 0.023 percent of the total population.

This also means that 99.97 percent of people didn't get sick enough to be in the hospital or emergency centre and diagnosed as having H1N1!

So in short, H1N1 is not as deadly as the common flu.

Sageb1 said...

Even the CDC and WHO has statistics to prove that H1N1 is less deadly than the common flu, which is also known as seasonal flu.

Reference:http://www.cdc.gov/h1n1flu/estimates_2009_h1n1.htm#Seasonal

Over 35,000 annual deaths ±50 percent between 1993 and 2003, a decade during which time the population rose from approximately 250 million to approximately 290 million people.

That's roughly 0.013 percent of the population.

And out of 200 thousand hospitalizations due to seasonal flu, only 36 thousand die. That's only about 14 percent of those people hospitalized.
It's also about 0.07 percent of the total US population of 290 million who get hospitalized.

Given 4 million people in BC approximately , that works out to 520 people who die from seasonal flu annually.

As well, about 3000 people are hospitalized due to common flu every year in BC.

Compare that to 42 deaths out of almost 1000 hospitalizations for H1N1.

Using the figure of about 22 million people out of 290 million in the US being affected by seasonal flu, about 7 percent of people are affected.

That works out to approximately 300 thousand people in BC affected by the common flu each year.

Sageb1 said...

As well the Canadian stats gives about 600 out of about 2000 hospitalizations being due to H1N1.

So the math all works out. 2000 is close enough to 3000, and 600 is close to 1000.

Note that all these numbers are estimates.

Sageb1 said...

UPDATE:
According to FoxNews, approximately 17,000 Americans died due to H1N1 and about 57,000,000 people suffered from H1N1 infections.


This puts the death rate at 0.03 percent.

This rate is confirmed at the Wikipedia entry for 2009 flu pandemic by country. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2009_flu_pandemic_by_country

http://www.cdc.gov/h1n1flu/estimates_2009_h1n1.htm

The worldwide H1N1 death rate is still under 0.01% - 17,031 confirmed deaths out of 1,629,395 confirmed cases.

Reason for discrepancy between confirmed cases for the US and CDC estimates is that CDC is estimating cases and deaths, not confirming.

So the CDC figures are guesses.

What about the higher rates in the US and Brazil using the confirmed cases?

The US has a confirmed rate of 3 percent. Yet the estimated rate is 0.03 percent.

Estimations of H1N1 cases and deaths due to H1N1 raised the total number of cases by 504 times and the number of deaths by 6 times. This works out to a factor of 84.

Sageb1 said...

To contrast the estimate of total Americans who had H1N1, the US population is just over 300 million people.

Almost 60 million people got the flu.

That's one out of five people.

Almost 20 thousand died from it.

That's 1 out of every 3000 people or about 333 out of 10,000.

In the US, more people die from lack of health insurance than they do from H1N1 (45,000 vs 17,000).

Sageb1 said...

3 days ago I bought 10 tablets of cetirizine to prepare for the flu season.

It is to be used when a build up of mucus in my lungs happens after I get a flu.

Therefore it is not a preventive for the flu.

Rather it reduces inflammation in throat and lungs which lead to rapid buildup of mucus.

This inflammation is due to secondary human rhinovirus infection which happens after the main influenza infection, due to weakened immune system.

So this is a preventative measure to apply if I get the flu.

What I am doing currently is taking 1000 IU of Vitamin D, which I have been doing daily for at least3 months now.



Sageb1 said...

Future Science article on
N-ACETYL-CYSTEINE: http://www.futurescience.com/nac.html